Lottery’s luckiest choices revealed
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January 24, 2010 | 5:00am
Lottery lovers, we’ve got your numbers.
If you have a dollar and dream — and believe you can beat the odds — start with 14, 36 and 48.
Those three numbers have hit more than any others among the 414 winning Mega Millions tickets sold between 2005 and Jan. 12.
And since June 24, 2005, when the latest version of the game launched, they’ve appeared on the winning six-number combinations the most often.
That’s according to an analysis of Mega Millions payouts compiled by Matthew Vea, a consultant in Ernst & Young’s financial services department in Midtown, who looked at the results of every drawing over the last 4½ years.
The game encourages players from 12 states, including New York and New Jersey, to plunk down a dollar in the hope of becoming fabulously wealthy.
A player’s six picks must match the numbers that come up when officials randomly draw a half-dozen balls numbered 1 to 56.
With odds of more than 175 million to 1, jackpots routinely reach hundreds of millions. The record payout was $390 million in 2007. Tuesday’s jackpot is an estimated $121 million.
The number 14 is a big winner.
Not only has it appeared on 48 of the 414 winning tickets since 2005 (a rate of more than 11 percent), it’s been the second-hottest number during the last three months, averaging just 30.2 days between appearances on somebody’s lucky ducat, Vea’s analysis shows.
The number 36 also popped up 48 times since 2005, while 48 appeared 47 times. Three others — 53, 5 and 46 — hit 46 times.
Experts caution that every drawing is random, so playing “hot” or “cold” numbers is, statistically speaking, still a losing proposition.
“It’s perfectly natural that in a small sample size, 414 drawings, that you would have a [hot] number,” said NYU math professor Gerard Ben Arus. “But of course if you get a huge sample size, tens of thousands, it would equal out.”
The most popular numbers chosen by players for New York’s Numbers and Win 4 games are 111 and 0000, lottery organizers say.
After 111, the next most popular Numbers choice is 222, followed by 333, 777 and 999.
Among Win 4, they are 1111, 2222 and 3333.
Officials said that news events sometimes spur a run on numbers, such as 911, which sells out every year on Sept. 11, and 1549, the number of the US Airways flight that hero pilot Chesley “Sully” Sullenberger safely landed in the Hudson River a year ago.
A consultant at Ernst & Young studied the numbers picked for the Mega Millions lottery since 2005. The results:
Most frequent winning numbers
14 On 48 winning tickets — 11.6%
36 On 48 winning tickets — 11.6%
48 On 47 winning tickets — 11.4%
Least frequent winning numbers
47 On 23 winning tickets — 5.6%
6 On 25 winning tickets — 6%
49 On 26 winning tickets — 6.2%
OTHER US LOTTERIES
The hottest numbers in 107 state lottery drawings nationwide between Jan. 7 and Jan. 13 this year:
20, 23, 30, 42, 7, 32, 16
Most popular numbers picked by players:
111, 222, 333, 777, 999
Most popular numbers picked by players:
1111, 2222, 3333
OTHER POPULAR NUMBERS
911 Sells out every Sept. 11 and won in 2002
1549 The number of the US Airways flight that splash-landed in the HudsonLottery lovers, we’ve got your numbers. If you have a dollar and dream — and believe you can beat the odds — start with 14, 36 and 48. …
Pick-4 Stats: Digits Ranked by Frequency from Best to Worst Numbers, Hot to Cold
Reports created by FrequencyRank , lottery, lotto, Pick-4 statistical software.
The statistical reports rank the Pick 4 digits by their frequency . The numbers are listed in descending order, from the most frequent (the hottest or the best) to the least frequent digits (the coldest or the worst numbers). The reports show the number of hits ; i.e. amount of drawings in which that particular Pick-4 digit was a winner.
The ranking by frequency is performed two ways:
1) Regardless of position;
2) Position by position.
You will notice differences in the two reports.
Regardless of position: Counts in how many draws the digit came out;
Position-by-position: Counts all occurrences of a digit.
The position-by-position frequency will always show the exact amount of digits that appeared in a number of drawings analyzed. For example, the span of analysis was 100 drawings. If we add up the frequencies for digit position 1, the amount must be 100. The same is true for the other positions. If we add up the frequencies for the four positions, the total must be 100 x 4 = 400.
A statistical report as such is not of much use. The short-term ranges of analysis offer stronger tendencies, in accordance to the Fundamental Formula of Gambling (FFG). For far better results, run the special lottery software SkipSystem :
• Current Pick 4 game format: 4 digits from a field of 10, from 0 to 9
• Total drawings in this results file: 11505
• Most recent drawing in this file: May 15, 2017 (8 3 3 4)
• Data recorded in Pennsylvania Lottery, evening drawings only.
The following statistical reports are no longer updated. The registered members of this site can run Frequency Rank any time, for any number of lottery drawings. The reports for any 4-digit game in the world are generated in mere seconds.
You will notice that the discrepancy in frequencies is determined by the length of analysis (parpaluck) — for the position-by-position analysis as well. The longer the parpaluck, the closer the frequency percentages get to one another.
One caveat: The Pennsylvania pick 4 game has a very long history. Admittedly, mistakes are likely. I entered data from a multitude of sources. Earlier, I entered data manually. I might have also missed or deleted some drawings. I might have deleted quadruple combinations, such as 0000, 1111, etc.
The short span of analysis is where the money is. The short parpalucks create staggering biases in pick-4 digit frequency. Any lottery strategy should focus only on short parpalucks.
Axiomatic one, see also freely:
- Pick-4 Straight Sets Statistics in Pennsylvania Lottery from start to 05/15/2017 (based on my database only).
- Pick 4 Boxed Sets Statistics in Pennsylvania Lottery from start to 05/15/2017 (based on the drawings I recorded).
Resources in Lottery Software, Lotto Wheeling, Pick-4 Strategies Systems
- The Main Lotto, Lottery, Software, Strategy, Systems Page.
Presenting software to create free winning lotto, lottery strategies, systems based on mathematics. Get your lotto systems or wheels, the best lottery, lotto software, combinations, winning numbers.
- Lotto, Lottery Software, Excel Spreadsheets: Programming, Strategies.
Read a genuine analysis of Excel spreadsheets applied to lottery and lotto developing of software, systems, strategies. Combining Excel analysis with powerful lottery and lotto software programmed by this author, Parpaluck.
Also applicable to LotWon lottery, lotto software; plus Powerball, Mega Millions, Euromillions.
Updates to several Bright software packages: pick-3, pick-4 lotteries, 5- and 6-number lotto games. Pick 4 lottery 0000 9999 statistical software ranks most common winning pick-4 numbers by frequency: Hot to cold, best to worst, plus digit positional analysis. ]]>